RBI cuts repo rate by 25 basis points to 6 pc, lowers GDP growth forecast for FY26
09-Apr-2025 12:22 PM 3650
Mumbai, Apr 9 (Reporter) Delivering second straight cut in key interest rate in the wake of softening retail inflation, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)'s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) on Wednesday decided to cut policy repo rate by 25 basis points to 6% with immediate effect. "After a detailed assessment of the evolving macroeconomic and financial conditions and outlook, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted unanimously to reduce the policy repo rate by 25 basis points to 6% with immediate effect,” RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said while announcing the first bi-monthly monetary policy of the current fiscal. Consequently, the standing deposit facility (SDF) rate under the liquidity adjustment facility shall stand adjusted to 5.75% and the marginal standing facility (MSF) rate and the Bank Rate shall stand adjusted to 6.25%. The MPC also decided to change the stance from 'neutral' to 'accommodative'. Besides relief for homebuyers and other borrowers, the repo rate cut is expected to boost economic growth which faces multiple headwinds especially trade disruptions and sluggish private investment. On rationale of the monetary policy decision, Malhotra said that the MPC noted that the inflation is currently below the target. "It is supported by a sharp fall in food inflation. Moreover, there is a decisive improvement in the inflation outlook. As per projections, there is now a greater confidence of a durable alignment of headline inflation with the target of 4% over a 12-month horizon," he said. Marking the first rate cut in nearly five years, the central bank had in February this year reduced the repo rate by 25 basis points to 6.25%. One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. While announcing the monetary policy, the RBI Governor said that the current financial year has begun on an anxious note for the global economy. "The global economic outlook is fast changing. The recent trade tariff related measures have exacerbated uncertainties clouding the economic outlook across regions, posing new headwinds for global growth and inflation," Governor Malhotra said. He, however, noted that the Indian economy has made steady progress towards the goals of price stability and sustained growth. Amid ongoing trade tariff war and its potential impact on India, the RBI has cut India’s GDP growth forecast for the current financial year 2025-26 to 6.5% from 6.7% growth projected earlier. "Real GDP growth for 2025-26 is now projected at 6.5%, with Q1 at 6.5%; Q2 at 6.7%; Q3 at 6.6% and Q4 at 6.3%," Malhotra said. He said that the downward revision essentially reflects the impact of global trade and policy uncertainties. Noting that the outlook for food inflation has turned decisively positive, the RBI has projected headline inflation for 2025-26 at 4%, with Q1 at 3.6%; Q2 at 3.9%; Q3 at 3.8%; and Q4 at 4.4%. Commenting on the MPC decisions, Indranil Pan, Chief Economist at Yes Bank said, "Given projections by the Skymet of a normal monsoon, the risks to food inflation are likely reduced. At the other end of the spectrum, global growth risks have unleashed a sharp softening in crude oil and other commodity prices, and this is also a positive for India’s inflation dynamics." "Overall, the confidence that inflation would remain aligned to the 4% target has magnified. Given a 4% inflation target, the scope of pushing repo rate down to 5.50% in this cycle has opened. Consequently, we expect the RBI to cut in June and also in August," he added...////...
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